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Tweeting To The Presidency

In a study by Twitter Election Research group, it’s reported that in the case of GOP nominees, “a change in Twitter following is a leading indicator of polling.” According to Zach Green, a candidate who experiences a change in the polls will begin to see that change reflected days or even weeks beforehand by a decline or rise in the number of Twitter followers and/or mentions they receive.

Spikes in followers consistently precede shifts in the polls. The Twitter analysis we find most predictive of political polling is modeled on technical analysis of stock charts. We establish trendlines across consecutive highs and lows of the daily new follower count for a candidate. A decisive break up from a trendline predicts a growth in the polls within the next few days. A decisive break down in trendline predicts a drop in the polls.

Perhaps the best visualization of these shifts analyzes the shift in popularity (in the polls) of Herman Cain.

I’m not sure if the data above allows you to view findings regarding Herman Cain, but it is rather interesting to see the predictive nature Twitter can have on a race as important as deciding the next leader of the free world.

According to, the research is backed by 7 months of data of the candidates featured on the the table above; compared with the moving averages of each of the main candidates. As a democrat (I’ve only voted in 2008), I find the early GOP debates a tad boring (albeit necessary), but will be fascinated to know if the linkage between Twitter activity and actual Poll numbers carries on to the main election showdown in 2012.


Live Streaming News and The Role Of Broadcast TV In The Aftermath of The 2011 Sendai Earthquake and Tsunami

Doc Searls of Harvard Law School comments on the  role of Broadcast TVs coverage of the 2011 Sendai Earthquake and Tsunami.

I just looked at ABC, NBC, CBS, Fox, CNN, CBC and BBC online, and all have recorded reports. None have live coverage on the Net. They are, after all, TV networks; and all TV networks are prevented from broadcasting live on the Net, either by commercial arrangements with cable and satellite TV distributors, or by laws that exclude viewing from IP addresses outside of national boundaries.

Television has become almost entirely an entertainment system, rather than a news one. Yes, news matters to TV networks, but it’s gravy. Mostly they’re entertainment businesses that also do news. This is even true (though to a lesser degree) for CNN.

The blog post continues to plug a new service aimed at combining the internet with Television stations in order to get information in one place (the internet) as the population moves there as a primary source of information. Very informative indeed.

2011 Sendai Earthquake and Tsunami Aftermath Information And Live Streams From Across The Internet

[Note:] To be sure, this is old news and I am not the first one to post this information onto the web,  it’s a lesson on being the first one up with vital information, but in this situation, there is always a need.

As many of you (I’m sure) have heard, at roughly 5:46 UTC (in the afternoon), Japan’s Honshu Island was struck by the biggest Earthquake in its history and the 7th largest in recorded history coming in at 8.9 on the Richter scale.

The following videos were taken from Youtube on its Citizen Tube Channel

Live streams and other information can be viewed here:

Al Jazeera English coverage – Live Blog can be found here

CNN Live Coverage coverage – Live Blog can be found here as well

Wikipedia info can be found here, titled 2011 Sendai Earthquake and Tsunami

A truly devastating event, some images could certainly have been taken out of a film version of events just like it. Though unlike movies, real life is much more complicated. Hopefully, Japan can recover quickly from out of its rattled psyche at the moment and continue to be strong to help itself out of this tragedy.

What Happened To The News: The Growing Concern For The Current and Future State Of News Media

The Huffington Post recently posted an article (more like an Op-ed), from writer Judith Acosta assessing the fall of the Fourth Estate from it’s traditional M.O of a culture of news casters and producers who are more concerned with talking about themselves than reporting on the “important” news of the day.

The other day I was watching what I thought was a news program with my husband and in the middle of a report on immigration, the reporters began bantering about between themselves, their thoughts, disclosing intimate details about their own lives. My husband and I looked at each other, made faces at the TV and turned it off. Both of us were disgusted. Where did these reporters get the idea that they were important to any of us? Who told them that their personal stories were more vital to us than knowing what was happening in politics, in the economy, in the environment? What gave them the psychological, not to mention editorial go-ahead to step into their own shows as stars and stop being reporters?

Tragically, but for a small and hopefully growing segment of online news addicts, this pursuit of the news has given way to the pursuit of princes and actors by paparazzi. We hear more about Britney Spears or Lady Gaga in any given day than we do about what’s really happening in Iraq, under the tables in corporate America, or the horrific poisoning of our farmlands. Most people have no idea that there’s a trade deficit in this country.

Owing the stagnation of News Media (as it was traditionally iterated) to our growing culture of Narcissism, Ms. Acosta brushes over a sobering picture of the dire and under-reported issues facing America at this very moment. As 22 year old strapped to his computer, these issues make me stop in my tracks and realize that there’s more going on in this world than the latest Anime or Twitter feed coming from Charlie Sheen. I mean heck, didn’t Japan just go through its largest recorded earthquake in recorded history yesterday. America’s youth is long overdue for an outlook change, or just change in general. Don’t you think?

About Me: A Guide To The Mind Behind The AJM Culture Blog

I am going to admit, I like to feel smart and I like to feel smug. I follow many blogs whose creators feel as if they know “everything” when really, many of them are just regular joes’ like me and you on the verge of a nervous breakdown. And as I hear these bloggers and curators of information communicate their written word, I’ve thought to myself, ‘I too have thoughts to share’ and I myself have wondered, ‘why can’t I do the same?’

Well this is the place for it: the AJMCultureBlog. A gallery of different posts ranging from film, to fashion, to science, and don’t forget, Culture. I myself have not traveled the world (not without the ball and chain of a chaperon) and I don’t claim to be as high minded an individual as say, Ira Glass; nor perched high enough upon the Ivory Tower to pass judgment, but I do claim to be a 22 year-old college student living in the plush squalor of Los Angeles and clamoring to visit Asia to explore the home I’ve always been apart from.

This blog, for better or worse is a salad (yes, a salad) mixing in new and unknown ingredients and flavors in hopes of forming a brand new identity while still maintaining the basic characteristics and prestige of a blog. I hope you enjoy and I hope you find something here to connect with as I have.  That’s all for now.

– AJ